INV-2051
Bosch SMS8YCI03E · Water inlet valve
Slow fill / E18 fault
Stage
Validated
Triangulation
66%
Units-at-risk
9,400
Exposure
€2.1M
Loop age
Day 7
of an investigation that legacy took ~428 days
Origin
Loopback pattern engine
Owner: S. Bhat
Ranked Hypotheses
Generated by the agent, holdout-tested, ranked by posterior probability.
Evidence
For H1 · 79% confidence
Statement
Regional water hardness (Delhi, ~600 ppm) accelerating scale build-up on inlet solenoid — environmental, not defect.
Underlying data
Holdout test
Precision0.91
Recall0.86
FPR4.2%
Agent Reasoning Trace
Multi-step reasoning made inspectable. Each step is a real tool call against MES, supplier, PLM, and environmental data. This is the glass box.
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- step 1SignalTriangulator640msFuse E18 fault codes and technician replacementsFinding942 signals, strong regional clusteringUpdates rankingPattern promoted
- step 2Environment.correlate810msOverlay regional water hardness dataFindingr=0.86 with municipal hardnessUpdates rankingEnvironmental hypothesis promoted to top
- step 3Supplier.incoming_inspection1120msCheck ValvePro incoming inspectionFindingAll lots within specUpdates rankingSupplier hypothesis lowered
- step 4Holdout.test1600msValidate on 20% holdoutFindingPrecision 0.88 on regional cohortUpdates rankingConfidence: high