K
INV-2051

Bosch SMS8YCI03E · Water inlet valve

Slow fill / E18 fault

Stage
Validated
Triangulation
66%
Units-at-risk
9,400
Exposure
€2.1M
Loop age
Day 7
of an investigation that legacy took ~428 days
Origin
Loopback pattern engine
Owner: S. Bhat

Ranked Hypotheses

Generated by the agent, holdout-tested, ranked by posterior probability.

Human review & action
Validating routes into Production Response and raises the CAPA in SAP QM. No production action executes autonomously.

Evidence

For H1 · 79% confidence

Statement
Regional water hardness (Delhi, ~600 ppm) accelerating scale build-up on inlet solenoid — environmental, not defect.
Underlying data
  • Incoming inspection · BRG-W32..W38open →
  • Spec drawing 24.00 ±0.015mmopen →
  • SPC chart · inner-race diameteropen →
  • Matched serials (42,800)open →
Holdout test
Precision0.91
Recall0.86
FPR4.2%

Agent Reasoning Trace

Multi-step reasoning made inspectable. Each step is a real tool call against MES, supplier, PLM, and environmental data. This is the glass box.

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  1. step 1SignalTriangulator
    640ms
    Fuse E18 fault codes and technician replacements
    Finding
    942 signals, strong regional clustering
    Updates ranking
    Pattern promoted
  2. step 2Environment.correlate
    810ms
    Overlay regional water hardness data
    Finding
    r=0.86 with municipal hardness
    Updates ranking
    Environmental hypothesis promoted to top
  3. step 3Supplier.incoming_inspection
    1120ms
    Check ValvePro incoming inspection
    Finding
    All lots within spec
    Updates ranking
    Supplier hypothesis lowered
  4. step 4Holdout.test
    1600ms
    Validate on 20% holdout
    Finding
    Precision 0.88 on regional cohort
    Updates ranking
    Confidence: high